Sunday, 21 November 2010

Fulham/ManCity

With no recent Picklive stats for Fulham I'm using a combination of Telegraph and Guardian data to work out where most of the passing happens. And it seems it'll be the midfield that will decide this match. Danny Murphy and Jonathan Greening average 56 and 57 successful passes per match, well clear of Chris Baird with 43 in third. This shows that Fulham like to build through the middle of the park and those two players are my main recommendation for this match.

In contrast there are plenty of stats for Man City and the Team page on Picklive shows Barry, Kompany and de Jong have the best average across 9/10 games. Those three average 49, 43 and 47  passes per 90 minutes according to the Guardian/Telegraph stats and I think that shows why Murphy and Greening are my main tips for this match.

Of course passing alone does not decide a Picklive game. However, it does give a very strong indicator. A look at, say, de Jong's player page shows that passes make up between approx. 50 and 80 percent of his points, with an average of around two-thirds. Again not a perfect indicator but a strong one.

If you don't fancy simply going with the stats above then I would suggest trying Kolorov if he starts. He scored 15 points in 15 minutes (including time added on) against Man Utd. and 25 in 46 against Spurs so could be capable of a big score. He also had 4 shots against Birmingham in his last game, 2 on target.

If you fancy a bit more glamour then Tevez or Silva would be the sensible choice. Both score points regularly which makes them a strong choice even if they don't score a goal or get an assist.

So, in summary my recommendations are: Murphy, Greening, Barry, de Jong, and Kompany to start with then add a pinch of Tevez, Silva or Kolorov to season!

Good luck!

BensBulls

Update: with Greening not starting I would suggest Baird (mentioned above) but with a lot less confidence. Maybe picking 4 Man City players is the way to go?

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